Development and application of dynamic safety risk analysis system for super-high concrete arch dam

In view of the dynamics and complexity of structural safety risk and the seriousness of accident consequences during the operation and maintenance of the super-high concrete arch dams, a dynamic safety risk analysis system for the super-high concrete arch dam is developed based on the analytic hierarchy process, fuzzy theory and quantitative risk assessment analysis method, by using the SQL Server database and Microsoft Visual C#. NET programming technology. According to the load structure characteristics of the super-high concrete arch dams and the characteristics of various kinds of the safety monitoring instruments and complex layout of the safety monitoring system, a database adapted to different monitoring types and massive safety monitoring data is established. Based on the comprehensive evaluation system of the monitoring data, inspection and geophysical detection for the safety of the super-high concrete arch dam, the probability level of the accident of the super-high concrete arch dam is determined. The economic losses and the impacts on the social environment caused by dam accidents are quantitatively analyzed by means of an equivalent method to determine the loss level. Finally, the risk matrix is used to evaluate the dynamic safety risk level of the super-high concrete arch dam according to the probability level of occurrence of the accident and the loss level caused by the dam accident.