段召辉,李承军. 日径流的组合预测模型[J]. 水利水运工程学报, 2004, (3): 67-69.
引用本文: 段召辉,李承军. 日径流的组合预测模型[J]. 水利水运工程学报, 2004, (3): 67-69.
DUAN Zhao-hui,LI Cheng-jun. Combined forecasting model of daily runoff[J]. Hydro-Science and Engineering, 2004, (3): 67-69.
Citation: DUAN Zhao-hui,LI Cheng-jun. Combined forecasting model of daily runoff[J]. Hydro-Science and Engineering, 2004, (3): 67-69.

日径流的组合预测模型

Combined forecasting model of daily runoff

  • 摘要: 根据最优加权组合预测原理,建立了径流响应线性模型和时间序列模型的优化加权组合模型,以预测日径流,依据最小二乘法原理确定其优化加权系数,预测结果表明,优化加权组合模型可提高预测精度。

     

    Abstract: Based on the forecasting theory of the optimization weighted array, an optimization weighted array model with a runoff response linear model and a time sequential model is developed to predict daily runoff, and the optimal weighting coefficients are derived by the least square method. The predicted results show that the optimization weighted array model improves the forecast accuracy.

     

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