1958年以来长江口南、北支河段河床演变及影响因素研究

Riverbed evolution and its influencing factors in the South Branch and the North Branch of the Yangtze River estuary since 1958

  • 摘要: 根据1958—2019年长江口实测地形数据,对南、北支河段河床边界、河槽容积和河床冲淤等河床演变要素进行了计算分析。结果表明,从1958年至2019年,南、北支河段河床演变具有一定规律性:(1)岸线边界变化趋势表现共性,均遵循岸线内缩延展,河道面积逐渐缩小的变化规律。(2)冲淤演变差异明显,南支时间上整体趋于冲刷,分阶段冲淤交替,1998至2019年表现为持续冲刷;空间上整体表现为滩淤槽刷的特点。北支则整体趋于淤积,河道不断萎缩。(3)河槽容积变化表现一定相关性,2 m以深南、北支河槽总容积在84.76亿m3上下小幅波动,基本维持稳定,2019年比1958年仅增加4.1%。南、北支河段的河床演变受径流和外海水沙变化及人类工程活动综合影响,随着南、北支河段断面形态、滩槽格局及流域来沙的渐趋稳定,河床演变整体向平衡稳定方向发展。

     

    Abstract: Based on the measured topographic data of the Yangtze River estuary from 1958 to 2019, these factors such as riverbed boundary, channel volume and riverbed evolution of the South Branch and the North Branch are calculated. The results show that the riverbed evolution of the South Branch and the North Branch has a certain regularity from 1958 to 2019: (1) The change of riverbed boundary shows the same trend, which follows shoreline shrinking and extending, and the river area gradually shrinking. (2) The riverbed evolution between the North Branch and the South Branch shows obvious differences. The time variation of the South Branch tends to scour as a whole with alternating between erosion and deposition and shows continuous scour since 1998, and the spatial change shows the characteristics of "beach and silting channel brush". But the North Branch tends to deposit as a whole and the river channel shrinks. (3) The change of channel volume shows a certain relativity. The total volume of the South Branch and the North Branch with +2 m deep fluctuates slightly around 8.476 billion m3, which remains stable basically. Compared with 1958, the total volume in 2019 is only increased by 4.1%. The riverbed evolution of the South Branch and the North Branch is affected by water and sediment dynamic conditions and human engineering. With the stability of cross-section shape, shoal channel pattern and sediment inflow in the South Branch and the North Branch, their riverbed evolution tends to be balanced and stable as a whole.

     

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