黄河流域水资源与产业升级互动关系研究

Study on the interactive relationship between water resources and industrial upgrading of the Yellow River Basin

  • 摘要: 构建黄河流域水资源与产业升级综合评价指标体系,根据计算所得指数进行时空分析,运用面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型,通过格兰杰因果关系检验、脉冲响应与方差分解等方法,对黄河流域八省区2010—2019年水资源与产业升级的互动关系进行实证分析,提出相应对策建议。结果表明:(1)黄河流域八省区通过优化水资源利用方式难以促进产业结构调整,需要寻找新的发展驱动力,提高产业链附加值,构建现代化产业体系;(2)黄河流域八省区优化水资源利用对提高产业环境友好程度产生促进效应,应着力推动黄河流域水资源可持续利用,建立黄河流域生态补偿机制;(3)黄河流域八省区提高产业环境友好程度对改善水资源状态起积极作用,应大力发展可再生能源,提升产业绿色化水平,恢复水体状态。

     

    Abstract: The comprehensive evaluation index system of water resources and industrial upgrading of the Yellow River Basin was constructed. Based on the indices from index calculation, a spatio-temporal analysis was performed. Using PVAR model, with Granger causality test, impulse response and variance decomposition, the interaction between water resources and industrial upgrading of the eight provinces in the Yellow River Basin over the years 2010 to 2019 was empirically analyzed. According to the analysis results, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions were proposed. The results indicated that: (1) It was difficult for the eight provinces in the Yellow River Basin to promote the industrial structure adjustment by optimizing the water resources utilization pattern. It was necessary to find new driving forces of development, enhance the added value of the industrial chain, and establish a modern industrial system; (2) The optimization of water resources utilization of the eight provinces in the Yellow River Basin had a promoting effect on enhancing the industrial environmental friendliness. Great efforts should be made to promote the sustainability of water resources utilization in the Yellow River Basin, and ecological compensation mechanism should be established; (3) The improvement of industrial environmental friendliness of the eight provinces in the Yellow River Basin played a positive role in improving the condition of water resources. Vigorous efforts should be made to develop renewable energy, promote the green level of industry, and restore the status of water resources.

     

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