甘肃省水资源-经济社会-生态环境耦合协调演变分析

Analysis of the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of water resources-economic society-ecological environment coupling and coordination in Gansu Province

  • 摘要: 水资源、经济社会和生态环境之间存在复杂的耦合关系,推进三者耦合协调是实现区域可持续发展的重要前提。基于耦合协调度模型测算2010—2019年甘肃省14个市(州)水资源-经济社会-生态环境系统耦合协调度,并结合重心演化模型对耦合协调度演变特征进行分析。结果表明:(1)2010—2019年,甘肃省水资源-经济社会-生态环境综合评价指数整体呈小幅上升趋势,空间分布与各市州水资源禀赋、经济社会发展和生态环境治理分布格局相一致;(2)2010—2019年,甘肃省三大系统耦合协调度处于0.52,0.54,属于基本协调类型;空间维度上各市(州)耦合协调类型或持续稳定或有所提升;(3)2010—2019年耦合协调度重心轨迹主要分布在兰州市,年均移动距离为7.19 km。应针对区域特点采取差异化策略以推动水资源-经济社会-生态环境向高级耦合协调方向演进。

     

    Abstract: The complex coupling relationship exists between water resources, economic society and ecological environment, and promoting the coupling and coordination of the three is an important prerequisite for achieving sustainable regional development. Based on the coupling coordination degree model, we measured the coupling coordination degree of water resources-economic society-ecological environment system in 14 cities and states of Gansu Province from 2010 to 2019, and analyzed the evolution characteristics of the coupling coordination degree by combining with the evolution model of center of gravity. The results show that (1) the overall water resources-economic society-ecological environment comprehensive evaluation index of Gansu Province showed a slight upward trend during 2010-2019, and its spatial distribution was consistent with the distribution pattern of water resources endowment, economic and social development and ecological environment management in each city and state; (2) the coupling coordination degree of the three systems in Gansu Province was between 0.52,0.54, which belonged to the basic coordination type, and the spatial dimension of the coupling coordination type of each city (state) was either stable or improving; (3) the trajectory of the center of gravity of the coupling coordination degree from 2010 to 2019 was mainly in Lanzhou City, with an average annual distance of 7.19 km. A differentiated strategy should be adopted to promote the evolution of water resources-economic society-ecological environment towards advanced coupling coordination.

     

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