新疆射月沟水库溃坝过程数值模拟

Numerical simulation of dam breach process of Sheyuegou Reservoir in Xinjiang

  • 摘要: 近年来,由强降雨引发超标准洪水导致小型水库漫顶溃坝的事件在我国时有发生,2018年7月31日新疆射月沟水库发生的漫顶溃坝就是其中的典型案例。因拥有较为详尽的调查资料,对本案进行反演分析具有重要理论意义和工程价值。基于溃坝视频和灾后调查资料,明晰了射月沟水库的溃坝过程,总结了溃坝水流的冲蚀特性。建立了可考虑溃口形态在纵、横断面演化规律的溃坝数值计算方法,并采用射月沟溃坝案例对其合理性进行验证。通过计算值与实测值的对比发现,重要溃坝参数(如溃口峰值流量、溃口最终顶宽/底宽/深度、峰值流量出现时刻)的相对误差均在±15%以内,溃坝模型计算结果具有较高的精度。参数敏感性分析表明,坝料冲蚀系数对溃坝过程具有重要影响,尤其是溃口峰值流量和峰值流量出现时刻;陡坎运移系数对溃坝过程也具有一定影响,决定了峰值流量出现时刻。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, due to super-standard flood caused by heavy rainfall, the overtopping-induced dam breach events of small-sized reservoirs often occurred in China. The failure of Sheyuegou Reservoir in Xinjiang on July 31, 2018 is a typical case. Because detailed field investigation data is available, the back analysis of this case has important theoretical significance and engineering value. Based on the dam-break video and post-failure investigation, the dam breach process of Sheyuegou Reservoir has been clarified, and the erosion characteristics of dam-break flow has been summarized. A numerical calculation method for dam breach process has been established, and can consider the evolution rule of breach morphology in the longitudinal and cross sections. By comparing the numerical and measured results, it is found that the relative errors of important dam breach parameters (i.e., peak breach flow, final breach top and bottom widths, final breach depth, and time to peak) are all within ±15%. For a numerical model of dam breaching, the numerical results have high accuracy. The parameter sensitivity analysis shows that soil erodibility coefficient has an important effect on the dam breach process, especially on the peak breach flow and time to peak. The headcut migration coefficient also has a certain influence on the dam breach process, which determines the time to peak.

     

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