基于GRACE卫星的黄淮海地区地下水储量变化与归因分析

Variations in groundwater storage in the Huang-Huai-Hai region and attribution analysis based on GRACE data

  • 摘要: 黄淮海地区是中国水资源短缺严重的地区之一,地下水的过度消耗已成为该地区经济社会发展的主要制约瓶颈。基于2003—2021年GRACE重力卫星数据和GLDAS陆面同化数据计算并评估黄淮海地区地下水储量变化,利用统计检验方法分析其时空变化特征,从降水、蒸散发、地下水供水、跨流域调水等方面分析地下水储量变化原因。结果表明:黄淮海地区94.2%的区域地下水储量呈下降状态,平均变化速率为−1.22 cm/a,其中海河流域为−1.75 cm/a,淮河流域为−0.57 cm/a,黄河流域花园口以下为−2.11 cm/a,表现出自南向北逐步增大趋势。不同流域地下水储量变化的主导因素有差异,降水对淮河流域地下水储量变化的影响程度显著大于海河流域,而海河流域和黄河流域花园口以下地区地下水储量减少主要原因是多年以来大量的地下水开采。随着近年来跨流域调水量的增加,海河流域地下水供水量已有所减少,地下水储量下降趋势得到缓解,黄河流域花园口以下地区地下水储量在2020年后增长较快。

     

    Abstract: The Huang-Huai-Hai region in China faces severe water shortages, with excessive groundwater consumption posing a significant obstacle to its economic and social development. This study utilizes GRACE gravity satellite data and GLDAS land surface assimilation data from 2003 to 2021 to analyze and evaluate variations in groundwater storage in the Huang-Huai-Hai region. Statistical methods are employed to examine the spatiotemporal characteristics of these variations, and the factors contributing to changes in groundwater storage, including precipitation, evapotranspiration, groundwater supply, and inter-basin water diversion, are investigated. The results reveal that 94.2% of the Huang-Huai-Hai region experiences a decline in groundwater storage, with an average rate of −1.22 cm/a. The Haihe River Basin exhibits a rate of 1.75 cm/a, the Huaihe River Basin experiences a rate of −0.57 cm/a, and the below Huayuanko area of the Yellow River Basin has a rate of 2.11 cm/a. The spatial pattern of groundwater storage indicates increasing decline rates from south to north. The dominant factors influencing groundwater storage variations differ among the three basins. Precipitation has a greater impact on groundwater storage in the Huaihe River Basin compared to the Haihe River Basin, while long-term groundwater supply reduction contributes to the decline in groundwater storage in the Haihe River Basin and below Huayuankou area of the Yellow River Basin. The increasing inter-basin water diversion in recent years has led to a reduction in groundwater supply in the Haihe River Basin, alleviating the declining trend of groundwater storage. Additionally, groundwater storage in the below Huayuankou area of the Yellow River Basin has experienced rapid growth since 2020.

     

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