Abstract:
After introducing various uncertain factors including a stochastic initial condition,a stochastic coefficient and a stochastic input term into calculating program of flow profiles in river, a stochastic differential equation is established. By using the Fokker - Planck equation, the probability density distributions of flow profiles in river are solved. Then,the risk analysis of flood flow in river is presented, and a safe and reasonable design method for flood protection embankment is suggested.