滨海核电温排水热影响范围预测与评估技术研究进展

Research progress in prediction and assessment techniques for the thermal impact range of coastal nuclear power plant thermal discharges

  • 摘要: 我国核电装机规模持续增长,在运和在建核电机组装机规模升至世界首位。核电机组运行产生的温排水对水域的热影响日益凸显,科学合理预测与评估温排水对水域的热影响是核电项目论证阶段的关键前置环节,也是评价在运核电温排水对水域环境与生态影响的重要指标。本文梳理分析了温排水热影响的要素,包括工程运行方式(冷却方式与排放方式等)和海域自然条件(水动力条件、地形岸线、气象条件、水体物理特性等),并论述了获取温排水影响程度的研究方法,总结现场观测、物理模型、数值模拟及遥感技术的优势与局限。针对当前核电规模化发展与日益严格的环境保护需求,指出了今后需进一步深化研究的方向,以期提升核电温排水热影响范围的合理预测与精细评估水平。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, China’s installed nuclear power capacity has grown steadily. According to the latest statistics, the total installed capacity of nuclear power units in operation and under construction has reached the highest level in the world. Meanwhile, the thermal impact of heated discharges generated during nuclear power plant operation on receiving water bodies has become increasingly prominent. Therefore, accurately predicting and assessing such thermal impacts is not only a key prerequisite during the feasibility demonstration stage of new nuclear power projects, but also an important basis for evaluating the environmental and ecological effects of thermal discharges from operating reactors on adjacent aquatic ecosystems. This study systematically reviews and analyzes the key factors influencing the thermal effects of cooling water discharge. These factors can be broadly categorized into two groups. The first group relates to engineering operational modes, including cooling methods (e.g., once-through direct cooling and recirculating cooling using cooling towers) and discharge configurations (e.g., open-channel discharge and culvert discharge). The second group involves natural marine environmental conditions, including hydrodynamic conditions (tides, tidal currents, residual currents, and waves); shoreline and bathymetric characteristics (water depth, seabed slope, coastline curvature, and island distribution); meteorological conditions (wind speed, air temperature, and solar radiation); as well as physical properties of the water column (ambient water temperature and salinity). These factors play critical roles in the diffusion, mixing, and heat dissipation processes of thermal discharges. This study further examines the major methodologies used to assess the thermal impact range of heated discharges and summarizes the advantages and limitations of four representative approaches: field observations (which provide real environmental background data but are costly and limited by spatial and temporal coverage); physical models (which are intuitive and controllable, capable of reproducing complex three-dimensional processes, but tend to underrepresent vertical diffusion and have difficulty fully simulating surface heat dissipation and boundary heat recirculation); numerical simulations (which are flexible, cost-effective, and capable of simulating complex hydrodynamic and thermal processes, but are highly dependent on parameter selection and boundary condition settings); and remote sensing techniques (which provide broad spatial coverage at relatively low cost, but can only reflect surface temperature distributions and are susceptible to atmospheric absorption, scattering, and cloud interference). It is worth noting that no single method can fully characterize the dispersion process of thermal discharge. Therefore, research should comprehensively consider factors such as engineering characteristics, simulation scale, accuracy requirements, and project schedules, and adopt a multi-method framework for investigation and validation, thereby leveraging the complementary advantages of different approaches to achieve effective integration. In view of the current large-scale development of nuclear power and increasingly stringent environmental protection requirements, this study identifies several future research directions that warrant further attention. First, it is necessary to investigate the synergistic regulation mechanism of wave–current coupling on the transport and dispersion of thermal discharge, and to propose a parameterized characterization method for diffusion coefficients that integrates the combined effects of tides and waves. Second, methods should be developed to distinguish the respective contributions of thermal discharges from adjacent outlets after the superposition of thermal impacts. Third, comparative studies should be conducted on the nonlinear thermal mixing behavior of multiple thermal discharge plumes and their cumulative thermal impacts on the ambient water body. Fourth, predictive models for long-term thermal impacts should be established to enable analysis of the spatial and temporal extent of temperature rise impacts. This work will help improve the accuracy of prediction and the precision of assessment regarding the thermal impact zone of warm-water discharge from nuclear power plants, thereby enabling more reliable evaluation of discharge impact ranges.

     

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